Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.430011 8.307501 9.337176 10.660534 12.357721 14.526330 17.629495
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.994619 8.276022 9.955452 12.439538 16.285603 22.643305 36.125505
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.150143 7.540349 9.499785 12.708907 18.516891 30.974123 78.027722
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.778361 7.365367 9.794945 14.311853 24.542896 60.613470 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.380734 7.081500 9.876343 15.732323 32.825505 192.198636 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.859903 6.520178 9.370898 15.841944 38.961386 5704.697202 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.379014 5.951865 8.735529 15.433698 43.791735 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.269815 5.984934 9.253102 18.428705 89.256817 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.318969 6.309954 10.522046 25.791395 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.193056 6.293315 11.066481 32.407629 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.019240 6.154160 11.281229 38.966814 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.789745 5.865791 11.006467 42.250139 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.539170 5.539953 10.658039 46.403684 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.386820 5.402944 10.859027 61.490432 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.102256 4.936250 9.861039 53.628181 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.953613 4.755137 9.768344 64.842831 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.800518 4.543443 9.510519 73.848684 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.608885 4.221953 8.783210 64.624779 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.426938 3.907517 8.028571 53.370310 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.374301 3.884213 8.301742 78.956383 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.379461 3.997674 9.162238 276.192868 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.325242 3.960108 9.425834 2512.820028 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.255005 3.873329 9.447391 NaN NaN NaN NaN